The reaction and action stemming from Trump's announcement that he is pulling the US out of the Paris Accord leads me to believe that the movement is actually quite antifragile. I am not in agreement with Trump taking the US out of a leadership role on climate change, but I foresee some benefits: (1) other countries will step in to fill the void, and, perhaps, do even more than they might have with the US in the picture, (2) within the US, other entities below the Federal level - states, cities, towns, companies and individuals - also appear to be stepping in to fill the void, as they reaffirm their commitment to countering global climate change. It is altogether possible that we've gone from lower-potential agreement and complacency to higher-potential disagreement and momentum, such that the US, as a collection of smaller entities, will do more to fight climate change than it otherwise might have with the Federal Government in the lead. In my opinion, this is a foreshadowing of a similar, antifragile 'snap back' that Trump's very election will yield: Whether Democrat or Republican, and irrespective of policy views, voters will see the cost of incompetency, and they will choose more wisely the next time around. Again, irrespective of party or policy, I believe the choice will be better next time. If not, then I will start to worry. At the moment, I think we are just being led around by the Ghost of Christmas Future, who is giving us a clear dose of our choices today, and we'll wake up in time to save Tiny Tim, minus a few appendages, unfortunately, but that is the price of lessons learned.
